WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb577da806ba07d999c342c74dc05fc2f7b207f056e3e6a172a11f908666f64d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Portland Fire, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Portland Fire | 48c | 41,483$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,483.18 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 14,699$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.79 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 72c | 11,770$8,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.35 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seattle Storm | 59c | 10,962$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.83 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…bb89backed Seattle Storm | 0c | 10,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 10,031$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 10,000$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Portland Fire | 46c | 8,886$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.84 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Portland Fire | 41c | 8,173$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 7,487$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 5,605$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Seattle Storm | 19c | 5,574$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.43 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm | 24c | 5,386$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.15 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 4,266$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.64 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Portland Fire | 50c | 4,136$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +367.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire | 80c | 3,834$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.35 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 3,607$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.23 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 3,492$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 3,357$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.18 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 3,135$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.23 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 2,998$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 2,785$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.07 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Portland Fire | 72c | 2,781$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 2,600$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.98 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Portland Fire | 52c | 2,567$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Portland Fire | 41c | 2,553$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.49 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 2,511$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.66 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Portland Fire | 59c | 2,369$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Seattle Storm | 4c | 2,345$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 2,342$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Portland Fire | 72c | 2,231$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.72 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Portland Fire | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,000$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.97 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,828$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.37 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 1,807$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.95 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Seattle Storm | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 1,753$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.88 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Portland Fire | 47c | 1,562$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 1,500$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,460$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.12 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 1,444$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked Portland Fire | 48c | 1,443$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cf12backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 1,352$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 13c | 1,319$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,196$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.01 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Portland Fire | 52c | 1,189$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.75 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Seattle Storm | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 1,048$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 1,025$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Portland Fire | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 999.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.43 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 967.29$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Seattle Storm | 24c | 912.66$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Portland Fire | 76c | 906.49$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 894.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Portland Fire | 56c | 890$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 873.67$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 872.06$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Portland Fire | 45c | 867.4$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Seattle Storm | 61c | 845.3$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Portland Fire | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 799.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 95 | 13.7%13 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 777.61$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 777.36$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 776.33$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 701.53$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Seattle Storm | 19c | 652.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Portland Fire | 61c | 649.7$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 648$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Portland Fire | 62c | 647.7$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Portland Fire | 40c | 620.81$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.49 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 619.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Portland Fire | 40c | 613.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.27 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Portland Fire | 64c | 600$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 599.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Portland Fire | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Portland Fire | 66c | 579$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.7wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 549.4$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 545.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 535$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 532.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 529.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Portland Fire | 76c | 529.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Portland Fire | 42c | 512.39$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Portland Fire | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Seattle Storm | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Portland Fire | 42c | 484.56$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 466.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 463.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Storm | 3c | 460.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Portland Fire | 65c | 459.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 458$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Seattle Storm | 13c | 446.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 91 | 8.8%8 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Fire | 56c | 443.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Seattle Storm | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 403.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormthis page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.