TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaa9…c084

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,263.81
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,293.87
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,922.54
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100.2%+$208.25
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.7%+$200.63
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,521.87
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,013.48
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$1,510.11
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,555.81
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,125.38
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$926.81
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,694.97
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$279.13
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,859.97
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$1,543.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+111.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,241.65
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$584.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.8%+$1,534.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$344.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,360
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$531.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,034Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$4,463.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.