TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes17c17,141$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,306.689034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes28c15,956$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,488.463748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.982055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes29c7,735$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,491.6412536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes32c2,592$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.3930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked No36c2,169$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7731050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes24c2,154$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.644060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes29c1,981$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.2720948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c1,663$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.26955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No78c1,546$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No71c1,528$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.872254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked No70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa293…2919backed Yes31c1,217$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.541637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Yes3c1,217$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick32cpaid+560.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc497…767abacked Yes72c1,200$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3321030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes73c1,159$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7210736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c2…7fe7backed No71c1,137$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes63c1,083$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8910845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…d264backed No72c1,000$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd022…eefdbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes10c850.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.792934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed No71c828.24$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.351553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes29c774.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No72c761.93$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.591464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ed…a702backed Yes30c665$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43c6…67c0backed No70c664.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3569…008bbacked Yes30c663.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes32c625.21$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes76c527.72$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.727857.7%45 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed No70c476.22$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes65c458.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.654161%25 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes79c431$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6912862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c414.93$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6829136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No69c348$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cc…28d5backed No72c347.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No70c333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.112147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16de…2ebdbacked No55c331.38$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.381573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes30c307.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes18c296.63$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.631233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+147.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes30c293.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked No72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes28c275$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes29c272.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.412860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Yes23c265.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No21c232.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.329350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f7…e9c4backed No72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes18c179.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.843625%9 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a61…d395backed Yes31c171$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.99742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes73c169.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.057346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.675149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb2…0f00backed No72c166.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked Yes14c164.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.071233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+194.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f09…cff4backed No72c152.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No71c151.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.243231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa387…912dbacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc173…930bbacked Yes79c122.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes29c110.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5811036.4%40 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes23c108.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.911978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes72c104.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.324639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7325450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6624963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+151.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515538.1%59 W · 96 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No69c99.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.994050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a05…7afdbacked No71c98.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes31c90.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No16c82.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.886527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No69c81.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.566058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18e7…111dbacked Yes30c81.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes36c80.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6225735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec5…20d8backed No71c80$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes29c69.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2111429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes29c68.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8214332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2771…df92backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae4…2de4backed Yes64c64.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…6747backed Yes77c56.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No70c54.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f87…7fddbacked No71c50.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+115.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed No72c48.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe094…fe93backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+156.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No69c39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf295…03e5backed No71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No69c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes30c34.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.032035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No33c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5083…f2dcbacked Yes79c23.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.