TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f87…7fdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$81
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$58.5
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24.92
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.68
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$22.29
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$17.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$20.36
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Braves vs. Brewersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$14.7
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Cubs vs. Tigersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$27.28
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$19.09
Giants vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.33
White Sox vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$19.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.56
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.