Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a48b0ce9d264804c48724ecd8234b8de58520f5fb206b9abd70f43a1b5355aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…ad12backed No | 76c | 9,990$7,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…372ebacked Yes | 24c | 9,990$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,592.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 75c | 6,279$4,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728.8 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 2,132$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.56 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,909$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Yes | 30c | 1,297$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed No | 77c | 1,010$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 4c | 751.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 5c | 742.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…b462backed No | 77c | 715$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 24c | 519.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.1 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 29c | 511.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.56 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…90f7backed Yes | 24c | 450$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…2638backed Yes | 23c | 445$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…8accbacked Yes | 23c | 445$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…0dc3backed Yes | 23c | 425$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked Yes | 23c | 420$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +144%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…22a2backed No | 77c | 385$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…8760backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 31c | 322.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 77c | 300.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.51 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…9474backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…9154backed Yes | 24c | 295$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…decbbacked No | 77c | 230$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 25c | 224.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed No | 77c | 210.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…4830backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d7debacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 193.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 21c | 166.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…f1cdbacked No | 77c | 160$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…a4b1backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…c209backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…e39cbacked No | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…0791backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…cbacbacked No | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 72c | 121.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…9130backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 112.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…80a4backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Yes | 31c | 98.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…5eddbacked No | 76c | 95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 94.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 76c | 92.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…44a9backed No | 76c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…3418backed Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 39c | 83.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…20c4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…0711backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed No | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…ea44backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848b…8d58backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 26c | 38.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…1ea1backed No | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…45c5backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…5bbdbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 77c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.