Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51797a7f9404cfec3a3ee7cfb8532f40bc1e9a3db56fa7193b422773b63bb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 76c | 5,142$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.12 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 5,100$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 20c | 4,341$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.21 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 77c | 3,166$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 2,285$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.73 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 75c | 2,243$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.88 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,993$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed No | 79c | 1,344$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,342$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed No | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,036$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 79c | 984.2$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 23c | 976.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 18c | 839.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 25c | 816$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 78c | 703.85$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 21c | 662.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…8760backed Yes | 11c | 574.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…f3cabacked Yes | 6c | 571.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 80c | 554.55$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 21c | 471.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 79c | 469.05$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 80c | 438.27$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 25c | 436.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 24c | 426.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 74c | 408.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 20c | 355$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 28c | 329.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes | 22c | 314.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…1969backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 78c | 299.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…c1c0backed Yes | 16c | 287.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 24c | 284.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 21c | 283.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…987cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 22c | 206.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 11c | 200.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…49e0backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 19c | 183.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 78c | 177.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…ace9backed Yes | 29c | 175.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 168.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 30c | 166.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 79c | 162$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed Yes | 21c | 143.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…469fbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 13c | 131.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db8…5634backed Yes | 21c | 118.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…0e80backed Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…063fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 72c | 99.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Yes | 20c | 99.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 78c | 95.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…1bcdbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…fef3backed Yes | 22c | 92.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…6c3ebacked Yes | 20c | 89.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Yes | 16c | 82.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…20c4backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…3824backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…3a5ebacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…0ffbbacked Yes | 21c | 70.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…418cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 76c | 65.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…3c7fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed Yes | 29c | 57.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…5c2fbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…3574backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0d5bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 78c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-27?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.