TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76a2…0bd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$630.46
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$582.48
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$534.82
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.54
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+100%+$22.2
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.55
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20.17
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$632.31
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$887.36
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$632.7
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$611.8
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$496.45
Athletics vs. Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$599.4
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.46
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+70.4%+$19.21
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$18.3
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+124.4%+$25.44
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$19.45
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,003
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.9
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$16.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+137.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,012.2
Adelaide International: Jelena Ostapenko vs Tereza Valentovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$426.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+114.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$527.31
Will Club Puebla win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$1,059.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$636.78
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$435.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,027.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,048.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$584.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$370.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$350.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$455.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.