Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780f2fa3f62e5149babe7f9dd76ee8026ae8f4485ca8e0e001e33701c6381df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 41c | 53,055$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,355.18 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 58c | 35,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 25,526$14,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,757.01 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 42c | 9,157$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…a1e4backed Yes | 43c | 8,531$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6262backed No | 57c | 8,336$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…6c9fbacked Yes | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…357bbacked No | 58c | 3,600$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,292$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.07 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,828$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes | 42c | 1,808$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed No | 58c | 1,805$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 57c | 1,455$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked No | 59c | 1,041$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,023$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.3 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 1,021$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.52 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 57c | 991.57$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 672.24$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.07 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 650.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.94 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 30c | 532.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 57c | 403.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 45c | 335.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 43c | 289$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 288.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 240.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 40c | 192.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 41c | 167.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 57c | 161$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…930dbacked Yes | 40c | 160.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 148.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…dab0backed Yes | 43c | 144.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…8f66backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 128.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…99bebacked Yes | 79c | 123.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 41c | 113.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 26c | 98.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 62c | 87.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…f8e7backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…48e3backed Yes | 43c | 59.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b0…990bbacked Yes | 43c | 56.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…82fdbacked No | 59c | 51.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 39c | 51.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 58c | 50.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…8e96backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…7724backed No | 59c | 49.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 41c | 48.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…fca3backed No | 59c | 48.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 58c | 46.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…0fa0backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…343ebacked Yes | 43c | 39.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4a…a43abacked Yes | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…7e70backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…cdc5backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…a6d9backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…b038backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 59c | 24.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…fc23backed No | 59c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…824cbacked Yes | 78c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-24?No won
- Will Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.