TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac97…ba57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,029.79
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$25.24
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$30.38
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$24.93
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.34
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.15
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.38
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Canadiens vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.1
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23.71
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23.58
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.2
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+143.9%+$26.33
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$21.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.74
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.75
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$25.85
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+40.8%+$13.48
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+119.9%+$25.45
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Yankees vs. Royalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$20.69
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+120.9%+$27.66
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$430.07
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,012.2
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.2
Dolphins vs. Texansbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$18.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.33
Open de Moselle: Terence Atmane vs Hugo Gastonbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$759.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$466.86
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$615.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,029.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$651.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$357.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$428.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$443.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$524.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$526.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,046.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$985.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.