La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb475a11c6e674db8d0cf4c44122089dfcf48bcd07642998b6656b74e9dc12d7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 71c | 69,239$49,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,234.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 30,910$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.9 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 13,878$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 10,672$7,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.01 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 29c | 9,652$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.54 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 6,038$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.57 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,921$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.06 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 27c | 2,901$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.27 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Yes | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed No | 70c | 1,476$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 29c | 901.02$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 9c | 807.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 669.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 71c | 500$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 71c | 480.52$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 378.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 29c | 362.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked No | 71c | 353.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 70c | 324.23$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 73c | 294.52$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 31c | 233.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 221$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 9c | 212.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 72c | 188.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 30c | 118.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 69c | 102.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 100.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 31c | 93.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 30c | 93.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 66.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 32c | 63.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 30c | 53.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 30c | 51.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 31c | 41.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 73c | 25.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…567dbacked No | 70c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…1b83backed No | 71c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…a25cbacked No | 71c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.