TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13a5…567d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
346
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT16350.9%83 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$20.74
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$22.74
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.42
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.54
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$29.27
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$28.92
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$5.05
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$12.76
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39%+$8.91
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.66
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+39%+$16.97
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+102.2%+$30.8
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.4%+$22.81
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+71.7%+$25.21
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+54.2%+$5.44
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.78
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$10.59
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$22.73
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+87.3%+$10.7
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.26
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.52
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.66
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+54.9%+$9.65
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+159.6%+$39.21
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+54.4%+$31.59
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.2%+$35.2
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.22
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.73
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.09
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.49
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.55
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$23.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.5%+$8.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+119.5%+$33.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+111.6%+$44.88
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+82.1%+$36.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.76
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+118.7%+$52.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.6%+$5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+86.3%+$18.53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$44.43
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+64.2%+$21.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+191.9%+$34.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.89
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$6.31
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.08
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.9%+$11.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.35
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+164.1%+$20.21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+124.2%+$67.03
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.1%+$47.53
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.1%+$10.16
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.78
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.35
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$11.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+113.6%+$55.91
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+176.2%+$20.2
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+60.9%+$12.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+146%+$58.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.53
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+67.5%+$32.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$14.14
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$9.21
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.33
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Wright State Raiders vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.38
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.68
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.86
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.62
Utah Utes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.25
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+98.3%+$37.66
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$22.01
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+90.5%+$10.66
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.27
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.99
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+155%+$29.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.