TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauffof Gauff, Mertens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$767,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$878,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Mertens34c100,756$33,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,949.551850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Gauff66c48,014$31,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,310.3713934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mertens55c39,820$21,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,916.422,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Gauff37c37,487$13,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,711.986026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mertens52c37,450$19,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,654.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Gauff67c26,144$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,643.5818756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Gauff42c22,601$9,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,141.9245737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Gauff67c20,716$13,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,836.319742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mertens68c18,399$12,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,591.871,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mertens59c18,221$10,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,752.347,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Gauff44c17,316$7,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,638.5835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Gauff46c14,440$6,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,837.424320.9%9 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Gauff65c13,160$8,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.986552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Gauff45c13,075$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,233.511,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Mertens50c12,859$6,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,444.1952037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Mertens42c10,157$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.8412442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Gauff66c9,867$6,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.677357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…62b4backed Gauff52c9,449$4,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,541.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Gauff57c7,510$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.6465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Gauff55c7,499$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.6436968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mertens34c6,950$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.9676146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Gauff29c6,182$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,378.8155646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mertens46c5,628$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.22,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Gauff66c5,400$3,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.626550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mertens50c5,333$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.022,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Mertens35c5,310$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.2333955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Gauff54c5,149$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.343070%21 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mertens52c4,829$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.4181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Mertens41c4,468$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.6319134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…2a72backed Gauff64c4,357$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.171973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Mertens35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mertens48c4,065$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.442,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Mertens58c4,000$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.4844360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Mertens35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mertens33c3,916$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.281,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Gauff52c3,840$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.2530241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mertens33c3,793$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6931332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Gauff46c3,588$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.437854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Gauff47c3,323$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.769264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gauff62c3,316$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Gauff67c3,284$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.589244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Gauff79c2,900$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5220257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Gauff61c2,826$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.2565558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mertens58c2,784$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.7575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Gauff47c2,780$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.4716339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Gauff35c2,720$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.097152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Gauff57c2,645$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.0866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Mertens51c2,518$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6141…ded2backed Gauff67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.11090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mertens80c2,389$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.1121147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ac0…9d95backed Gauff78c2,273$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…2805backed Gauff61c2,255$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Gauff68c2,250$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.7445457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Gauff17c2,206$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.8828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Gauff66c2,121$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.215658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Gauff66c2,104$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.361,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Gauff42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gauff64c1,975$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.34,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Gauff52c1,916$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2238739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Mertens37c1,800$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67217149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Gauff66c1,795$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.455354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gauff45c1,745$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.416,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Gauff67c1,641$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.6214568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Gauff66c1,632$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.8646553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Mertens34c1,605$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55326853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Gauff48c1,601$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.732832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Gauff32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.56159%36 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mertens33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49519241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Mertens35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Gauff40c1,496$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.7211560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Mertens35c1,461$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Mertens53c1,418$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a4…b95bbacked Gauff66c1,402$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Gauff39c1,342$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9947946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Mertens48c1,273$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61011530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Gauff50c1,257$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.8597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Gauff28c1,227$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.516133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Mertens38c1,212$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9527836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Gauff47c1,197$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.0324060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Gauff67c1,157$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Gauff34c1,157$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.586732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Gauff13c1,151$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.111417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Gauff26c1,138$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.011,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Mertens59c1,100$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Mertens32c1,085$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0328338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mertens33c1,061$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.137,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Gauff54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Mertens80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Gauff50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Gauff64c994.3$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Gauff53c941.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.86934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Gauff69c855.69$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3412949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mertens29c853.01$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Gauff67c824$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.725547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Gauff34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Mertens36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Mertens56c769.89$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.0210348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Gauff66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Gauff66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.584673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Gauff35c724.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5221843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.