TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6141…ded2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,105
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$3,087.39
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.5%+$2,871.43
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,010
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,705Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$984.94
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,895Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$864.76
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+54.2%+$81.58
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$646.27
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,094.89
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$388.89
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$846.44
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,332.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18.33
Andreeva vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.8%+$42.88
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+84.2%+$42.09
Tsitsipas vs. Rublev: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Tauson vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+98.2%+$49.12
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$825.1
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,948Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+36.7%+$1,447.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.1%+$3.86
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.13
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.6%+$1,090.51
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$432.24
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$511.11
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,939Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2,072.8
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+57%+$12.08
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$24.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.7%+$976.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$297.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.