TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Packers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Eagles, Packers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,138,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,354,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,138,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,086 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Eagles50c995,204$500,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494,614.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Packers50c920,487$456,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456,780.918344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Packers42c693,432$293,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293,459.4586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Eagles51c619,425$314,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305,193.411145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Eagles53c442,352$235,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206,627.961973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Packers49c269,999$133,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,071.1324652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Eagles53c228,103$120,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,641.7330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Packers50c223,142$111,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,371.2531240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Eagles50c216,158$108,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,079.145550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Eagles50c178,483$89,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,241.7413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Eagles50c164,834$82,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,544.4122950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Packers48c129,999$62,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,699.725850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Packers50c127,237$63,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,667.233553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Packers50c123,463$62,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,220.2711445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Eagles51c104,486$52,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,555.7347738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Packers50c103,830$51,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,915.1827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Eagles50c101,997$50,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,998.510333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Packers51c101,225$51,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,989.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Packers50c86,644$43,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,159.8810026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Packers50c81,333$40,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,666.5116836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Eagles54c81,283$43,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,645.7220755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eagles51c80,911$41,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,692.3453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Packers50c80,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0005453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Packers17c76,086$12,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,926.5820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Packers51c72,168$36,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,827.423040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Eagles51c70,000$35,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,60023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Packers50c68,785$34,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,386.0728447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Packers50c68,287$34,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,326.382227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Eagles50c67,819$33,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,909.5217041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Packers2c65,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Eagles54c57,416$30,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,482.1618156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Eagles49c57,060$28,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,924.948946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Eagles66c55,807$36,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,838.734264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Packers47c52,132$24,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,745.9541947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Eagles66c48,353$31,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,673.667557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Packers3c45,392$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.0114349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Packers49c43,051$21,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,162.61,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Packers50c41,800$20,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,9007440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Eagles49c41,693$20,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,092.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers50c41,227$20,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,522.5344652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Packers50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Packers50c40,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Eagles50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,999.994134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Packers49c38,800$19,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,01212944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Eagles59c36,309$21,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,885.179944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Packers51c35,989$18,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,396.8831350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Packers12c34,223$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.8331848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Packers50c32,626$16,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,3134146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Packers49c32,483$15,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,966.7919645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Packers50c32,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles51c31,200$15,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3907051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Eagles47c30,946$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,345.773557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Eagles58c30,523$17,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,795.0661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Eagles68c30,000$20,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7006639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Packers50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Eagles50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd1…da1cbacked Eagles51c30,000$15,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,850475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Eagles56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Packers50c27,894$14,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,002.5341248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Packers21c26,361$5,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,617.818044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Eagles74c26,139$19,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,870.952050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Eagles59c25,000$14,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,3402470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Packers25c23,734$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.2926547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Packers53c23,545$12,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,482.0817647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Eagles52c22,858$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,057.3919553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Packers40c22,805$9,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,221.678532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Packers50c22,571$11,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,231.9924053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Eagles51c21,219$10,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,498.424056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers48c20,387$9,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,798.81,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Eagles53c20,120$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,519.9413142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Eagles50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6b6…f090backed Eagles50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Packers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers50c20,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Packers50c19,998$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99918435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2746…f918backed Eagles51c19,924$10,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,762.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Eagles51c19,600$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,604560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Eagles49c18,166$8,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,264.4630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Eagles60c17,545$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967.89359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Eagles52c17,236$8,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,273.110639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers50c17,053$8,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,526.6214252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Eagles50c17,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5008856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Packers49c16,423$8,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,046.044546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Packers15c16,356$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.3319235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Eagles50c15,687$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.917153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Packers50c15,604$7,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,815.6325956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Eagles50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Packers54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Packers49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.9824957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Packers49c14,840$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,271.7825137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Eagles50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0002564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Packers50c12,351$6,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,175.56645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d2…8fd6backed Eagles50c12,300$6,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,145475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+70.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Eagles50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked Packers49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Eagles49c11,111$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.6110442.3%44 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Packers51c11,054$5,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,617.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Eagles49c11,000$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,56010144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Packers50c10,810$5,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,404.8325744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Packers51c10,529$5,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.56453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.