TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7189…b454backed Under53c57,313$30,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,983.885764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under54c47,515$25,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,859.8319553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Over46c45,429$20,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,907.193135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Under54c43,760$23,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,129.815756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Over46c37,644$17,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,492.889732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over50c30,000$15,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,10023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Over47c25,506$12,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,061.7833553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Under50c23,197$11,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,598.54637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under53c21,562$11,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,134.2617647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over46c17,554$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.9122450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c17,297$8,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,083.851,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Over47c13,226$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2163256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Over50c12,662$6,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,329.661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under49c11,645$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,938.9624652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f1…a818backed Over50c11,200$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Over46c10,758$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.2941248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over47c10,420$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.45650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over49c7,118$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,490.0283447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over46c6,666$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.3624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c6,127$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.0631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1070…03b6backed Under50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8004100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26e0…4659backed Under50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45010552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Over47c4,964$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.0812842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over47c3,972$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.9164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c3,667$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.5586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over47c3,404$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8837350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a9…d092backed Under54c2,200$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c1,975$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.1754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x856f…e1d7backed Over48c1,929$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,793$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.661,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under50c1,560$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Under51c1,456$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.3431350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Under55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.913560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf290…12c6backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007661.8%47 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c651.98$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.229855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28239447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under54c555.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.816351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over49c531$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1922950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cb…1356backed Under50c529.54$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Under53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over49c423.1$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3232050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8159…8d5cbacked Under54c421.3$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.88043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18826648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c394.54$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1612039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under55c354.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.559657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…3d3ebacked Over51c335.44$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1385339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c262$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006041.7%25 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over47c199.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9931540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8b…861dbacked Over51c198.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082025%5 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Under52c191.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2711156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2f…d648backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Over48c139.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673540%14 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Under50c138$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696267.7%42 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d8…16dbbacked Over51c136$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc761…de5bbacked Over50c135.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Over48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Under53c112.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.863844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.94161%25 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec17…44bcbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under55c98.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2516551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7be6…436ebacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Under55c85.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.697955.7%44 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.435764.9%37 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b7…148fbacked Over51c78.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…0a46backed Under55c77.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+59%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8320…94ebbacked Over48c72.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353073.3%22 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under54c66.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Under52c64.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Under54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.816162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310453.8%56 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7473…935bbacked Over20c50.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa937…dbb1backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-84.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.