TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc774…3d3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$42.05
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$112.27
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.1%+$23.34
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.2%+$42.19
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+59.3%+$20.62
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+46.9%+$58.44
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$95.89
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$172.57
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Spread: Bears (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.9%+$331.53
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Spread: Panthers (-5.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$256
Spread: Broncos (-9.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$177.76
Spread: Texans (-2.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. San Diego State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.9%+$58.02
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.9%+$1,809.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.2%+$309.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+39.2%+$21.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.5%+$199.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$96.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.