Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d669c09877311417c7925744c3d1d7db30adc3ec07d10435ecc478df313dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,072,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,188,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,072,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 9c | 115,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.96 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 93,298$11,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,362.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 9c | 87,561$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.14 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 10c | 80,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 9c | 63,520$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.92 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 9c | 60,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 7c | 41,179$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.29 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 9c | 32,792$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.29 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 9c | 25,331$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…e3d8backed No | 9c | 22,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 7c | 20,374$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 9c | 16,652$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.65 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 10c | 14,904$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.62 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 11c | 12,953$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.86 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 9c | 9,472$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.48 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 7c | 7,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 13c | 6,913$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.2 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 6,338$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.95 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 4c | 6,120$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 8c | 5,434$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.82 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 12c | 5,360$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 8c | 4,620$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…4cb0backed Yes | 77c | 3,706$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 9c | 3,503$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.29 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 9c | 3,300$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…2b8ebacked No | 9c | 3,098$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…c90dbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 9c | 2,812$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 9c | 1,910$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 6c | 1,871$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 20c | 1,631$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes | 80c | 1,545$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 12c | 1,501$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…469cbacked No | 10c | 1,450$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked No | 24c | 1,350$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.14 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 10c | 1,305$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 6c | 1,201$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 78c | 1,190$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 6c | 1,172$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Yes | 79c | 1,111$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 8c | 1,104$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…3d3ebacked No | 9c | 1,067$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 24c | 1,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…1565backed No | 10c | 990$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 7c | 969.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 8c | 943.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 12c | 862.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 7c | 856$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed No | 9c | 822.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 12c | 794.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Yes | 80c | 760$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 77cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 18c | 638.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 21c | 534.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 6c | 514$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 79c | 505.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 9c | 489.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 78c | 451.21$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 7c | 429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 404.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes | 77c | 344$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 25c | 328$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 7c | 318.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 7c | 292.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…c5bfbacked Yes | 78c | 291.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 7c | 285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 7c | 277.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 77c | 233.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 8c | 217.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed No | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 78c | 206.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…8807backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked No | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 188$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 22c | 183.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 75c | 182.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 7c | 173.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 7c | 171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 7c | 171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Luxembourg vs. Germany end in a draw?No won
- Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.