TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd470…783e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.75
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+203%+$50.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+334.8%+$77
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.2%+$260.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$772.8
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$457.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$819.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.99
Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,156.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.95
Will Al Hilal win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will Real Madrid win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.61
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$22.56
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.5
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24.41
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.06
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$59.08
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+492.4%+$183.47
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.65
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$28.25
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.75
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.21
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+116.6%+$105.67
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.02
Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.83
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.65
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$45.33
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+795.5%+$102.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
Will Brackley Town FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$39
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,188.26
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.04
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$1,205.4
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,187.84
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,186.29
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.87
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29.25
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+170.3%+$47.25
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$114.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$51.75
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$43.49
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$35.99
Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$36
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,178.26
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$585.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.95
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+184.3%+$64.82
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$35.2
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$94.63
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.75
Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.93
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$89.18
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$937.02
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$440.91
Will France win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$146.3
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$296.19
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$130.5
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+316.7%+$1,190.92
Will Spain win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.98
Will Argentina beat Colombia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$97.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,317.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,084Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+87.4%+$1,821.3
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,187.64
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youthbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.68
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
League of Legends: DRX Challengers vs. T1 Academybacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengersbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1,085.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Mmoh (+1.5)backed Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+99.9%+$51.16
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Khachanovbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Jannik Sinner reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.42
Will Lorenzo Musetti reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will Carlos Alcaraz reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Alex de Minaur reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will Casper Ruud reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$581.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$466.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,655Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$1,198.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.9%+$40.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$16.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$3.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$68.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$557.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.