Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d147e243209ab14404fd923197ad7d8ec5468415b03af6108d1b0d1f7c2a21a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 72c | 35,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 28c | 23,901$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692.28 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 30c | 5,528$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.24 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 2,457$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.78 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 1,555$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 33c | 1,507$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 29c | 1,359$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 1,240$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.44 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 70c | 849.73$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 718.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 67c | 672.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 648.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 294$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 285.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Yes | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 141.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 33c | 102.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 29c | 80.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 30c | 59.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Yes | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…1093backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?No won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.