TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x746f…8dc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$7.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+58.9%+$17.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$20.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.72
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$24.07
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.47
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.93
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$13.22
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$13.5
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$13.15
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+113.8%+$22.77
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$9.44
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.66
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.18
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.44
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.86
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.37
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$20.8
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15.76
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.18
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.6%+$21.73
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.3%+$7.46
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.12
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.99
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$6.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.