Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3468b443e4415141dedecb9053674e9a798d84ab9f9ca9eab9c4f5b857d0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 7,930$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 64c | 7,730$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 31c | 1,280$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 72c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 639.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 628.62$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.74 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 43c | 499.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 405.59$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 63c | 279.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 251.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 36c | 243.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 228$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 189.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 65c | 154.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 65c | 151.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 34c | 149.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…3936backed Yes | 67c | 148.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…ab23backed Yes | 67c | 133.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 131.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 67c | 89.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…1287backed Yes | 63c | 79.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 47c | 67.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 56c | 62.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 35c | 61.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…4378backed No | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 49c | 54.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Yes | 63c | 47.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…ea3bbacked No | 72c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…67a5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.