TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,911,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,844,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,911,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 949 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c244,481$79,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,329.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under30c153,898$46,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,401.177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over56c149,855$84,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,747.8374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c96,521$39,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,387.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c83,019$37,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,175.9742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over75c82,000$61,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under24c66,386$15,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,932.6833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…9db6backed Over76c66,055$49,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,182.291560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over66c57,555$37,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,607.542,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under23c45,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,35017550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over75c43,806$32,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,899.451,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over76c35,495$26,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,518.8614351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over44c30,071$13,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,692.2621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over75c22,407$16,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,601.6510355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under25c17,675$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.71,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over75c17,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2508158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over40c16,499$6,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,956.3224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c15,186$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Over32c14,909$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,142.287150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under45c13,244$5,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,990.6228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over76c13,200$10,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,16814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under25c13,000$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,229.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under25c12,000$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under25c12,000$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.9850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under25c11,600$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under25c11,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under33c10,196$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.3639933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under45c10,073$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.949650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under5c9,948$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.952744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under25c9,903$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.741,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c9,168$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Over55c8,687$4,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,878.576633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under71c8,388$5,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,963.0264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over38c8,278$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.5523427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under35c8,015$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.3244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…e13cbacked Over75c7,977$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under25c7,691$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.681,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c7,058$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.121,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under25c7,027$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.8770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c6,723$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,100.151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.9516947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over54c6,568$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.4827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under36c6,367$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under25c6,000$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49247442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under32c5,906$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.1233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e90…4474backed Over61c5,800$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under65c5,767$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over71c5,694$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.8275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c5,564$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.82,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over77c5,557$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.164870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c5,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.168672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Over80c5,220$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20011354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Over41c4,839$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.476434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Under41c4,825$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over12c4,814$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.7634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under58c4,753$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Over76c4,665$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c4,598$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…910dbacked Under1c4,400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick30cpaid+219.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over16c4,222$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.5726216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over71c4,085$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.5911561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over60c4,005$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.6931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under1c3,991$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0118118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over74c3,973$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.0812250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over63c3,730$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.1635244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over54c3,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70227845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under52c3,625$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.694472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c3,585$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under77c3,567$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.8234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over14c3,453$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.4322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under25c3,333$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2514325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over51c3,290$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.2839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over51c3,270$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over25c3,250$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under21c3,149$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under24c3,125$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75059752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.0415128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over76c2,956$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.417364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d99…6a92backed Under77c2,952$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-72.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under24c2,944$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.5626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over56c2,847$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.864949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a8…5604backed Under7c2,838$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.884637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over74c2,718$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.272763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over76c2,691$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.864568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over40c2,618$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.582552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1509…3eb7backed Over74c2,615$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under24c2,592$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.0818850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over75c2,507$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.671833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over12c2,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c2,499$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.242,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over55c2,378$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.7436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over59c2,325$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.2932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.