Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe70f4643f0372177768b214bcf55fe4f87750fe013213cf802dc5800369e1cc

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $613,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $657,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,985 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	9c	90,178$7,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,862.14	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	7c	64,961$4,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,396.27	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	8c	40,288$3,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,364.98	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	12c	24,215$2,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,984.45	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	9c	23,124$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,021.1	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Under	6c	21,306$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265.29	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	6c	17,598$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.89	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	6c	17,132$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.94	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	8c	12,023$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.19	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	6c	6,666$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.96	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under	14c	5,194$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.66	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under	0c	5,149$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	6c	4,919$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.96	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	6c	4,616$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.08	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,444$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	7c	4,352$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.57	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	6c	4,189$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.35	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Under	1c	4,040$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	8c	3,643$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.57	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	6c	3,450$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.49	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	7c	3,396$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.71	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	6c	2,626$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.59	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under	7c	2,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	7c	2,148$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under	5c	2,111$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.55	96	8.3%8 W · 88 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Under	7c	1,857$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef52…ae8fbacked Under	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	7c	1,412$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.72	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	7c	1,347$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.17	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	94	8.5%8 W · 86 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2637…26e1backed Under	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925e…ae34backed Under	10c	895.94$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.28	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	6c	840$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under	11c	799.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.4	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63db…174cbacked Under	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	4c	707.05$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed Under	7c	622.43$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.57	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	6c	600$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	8c	576$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	6c	510$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Under	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	7c	500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	7c	444.18$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under	6c	444$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	6c	440$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	6c	397.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Under	7c	341.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Under	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	15c	298.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Under	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7769…89c9backed Under	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	9c	247.64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…6844backed Under	7c	242.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	10c	240$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under	8c	232.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0a…30d6backed Under	7c	228.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	7c	225.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	8c	219.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under	11c	207.66$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	395	51.1%202 W · 193 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdce…fa11backed Under	14c	207.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	10c	179$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xeffc…a9c6backed Under	7c	173.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Under	7c	154.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Under	9c	148.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c5ebacked Under	13c	101.16$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2301…78cfbacked Under	16c	95.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under	13c	92.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	235	40.9%96 W · 139 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	13c	77.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5this page
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event