Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd1595fb6b528bd285ea3af2e8a80a5b6a07f6eefd23b280a525652084e676c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,914,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,961,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,914,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,050 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 31c | 1,499,999$465,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464,999.71 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 74c | 793,207$587,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,225.7 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 593,952$395,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,594.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…e4d0backed Under | 51c | 512,318$260,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,669.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 466,254$243,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,792.92 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 49c | 370,613$181,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,600.28 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 362,804$185,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,720.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…fefabacked Over | 49c | 330,000$162,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,699.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 49c | 310,000$152,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,799.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked Over | 50c | 268,201$134,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,100.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Under | 50c | 237,183$118,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,219.67 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 51c | 220,383$112,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,181.45 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 50c | 174,446$87,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,222.89 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,999.97 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 52c | 124,679$64,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,396.29 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 0c | 119,162$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 97,909$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 44c | 91,663$40,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,587.74 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 69c | 84,200$58,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,102 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 69c | 70,000$48,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,700 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 51c | 60,977$31,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,602.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Under | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Over | 49c | 56,000$27,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,440 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 49c | 53,607$26,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,340.41 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Over | 50c | 50,765$25,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,382.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Over | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 48c | 45,764$22,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,144.03 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 53c | 42,331$22,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,919.09 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 50c | 37,639$18,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,819.7 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Over | 41c | 33,860$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 49c | 33,380$16,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,356.2 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 3c | 32,103$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.46 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 30,516$19,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,284.56 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 50c | 30,107$15,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,053.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…1239backed Over | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed Over | 49c | 29,567$14,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,487.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Over | 49c | 28,800$14,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,112.02 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 45c | 26,087$11,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,716.85 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 24,863$11,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,031.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Under | 59c | 23,790$14,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,742.07 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 50c | 23,419$11,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,675.24 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 23,301$11,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,368.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 50c | 22,979$11,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,424.99 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 34c | 21,918$7,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452.29 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 2c | 20,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.02 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.95 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 51c | 19,999$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.68 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…2ed4backed Under | 50c | 19,990$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 50c | 19,905$9,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.56 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Over | 48c | 19,847$9,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,526.56 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Over | 48c | 18,985$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 17,074$8,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,115.99 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 49c | 14,879$7,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,290.7 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 60c | 14,402$8,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.8 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Over | 49c | 14,286$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 13,558$10,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.53 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 49c | 12,202$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.75 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Over | 58c | 12,129$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.31 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…0850backed Over | 50c | 12,005$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Over | 48c | 12,000$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.7 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 49c | 11,994$5,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.83 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 56c | 11,378$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.16 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 11c | 11,163$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.34 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed Over | 69c | 10,573$7,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,254.69 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Over | 36c | 10,491$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Under | 60c | 10,413$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.2 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…8490backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…bd47backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.84 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Over | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.94 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 49c | 8,578$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.07 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…e8b6backed Over | 23c | 8,486$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.81 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 12c | 8,386$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.37 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 8,214$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 7,759$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…7078backed Under | 53c | 7,547$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 14c | 7,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Under | 52c | 7,281$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.94 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 7,094$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.83 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.