TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,914,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,961,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,914,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,050 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over31c1,499,999$465,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464,999.7117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under74c793,207$587,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205,225.774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c593,952$395,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,594.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Under51c512,318$260,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,669.521376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under52c466,254$243,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,792.9277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over49c370,613$181,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,600.2820844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c362,804$185,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,720.582,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Over49c330,000$162,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,699.94143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over49c310,000$152,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,799.951250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Over50c268,201$134,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,100.432040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under50c237,183$118,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,219.6717550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c220,383$112,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,181.4564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under50c174,446$87,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,222.8933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over50c150,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c150,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,999.9742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under52c124,679$64,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,396.2932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over0c119,162$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c97,909$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over44c91,663$40,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,587.7421029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under69c84,200$58,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,10214349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under69c70,000$48,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,70013738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under51c60,977$31,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,602.253661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Under51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,40017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over49c56,000$27,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,44017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over49c53,607$26,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,340.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over50c50,765$25,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,382.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50017447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over48c45,764$22,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,144.031,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under53c42,331$22,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,919.0913742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,60012825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under50c37,639$18,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,819.722450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over41c33,860$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over49c33,380$16,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,356.29846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over3c32,103$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.4625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under63c30,516$19,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,284.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over50c30,107$15,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,053.334456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Over0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f9…8615backed Over49c29,567$14,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,487.641850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over49c28,800$14,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,112.0213448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over45c26,087$11,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,716.8524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c24,863$11,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,031.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under59c23,790$14,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,742.0725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c23,419$11,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,675.2415950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c23,301$11,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,368.493,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over50c22,979$11,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,424.998158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over34c21,918$7,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,452.2917748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over2c20,000$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9524058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under51c19,999$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.6810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under50c19,990$9,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,992.974447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under50c19,905$9,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,952.563754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Over48c19,847$9,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,526.5611647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Over48c18,985$9,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,112.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c17,074$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,35070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3508435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over49c14,879$7,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,290.714843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under60c14,402$8,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,760.838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over49c14,286$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under75c13,558$10,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over49c12,202$5,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,978.7542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over58c12,129$7,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.317448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Over50c12,005$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.56445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1206943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Over48c12,000$5,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,777.76833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over49c11,994$5,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,916.8336250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under56c11,378$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.1628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over11c11,163$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.3459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over69c10,573$7,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,254.695442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over36c10,491$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under60c10,413$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,165.28931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8005841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a76…8490backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013035.4%46 W · 84 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9007538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7450…bd47backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.8438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under51c9,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9438526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over49c8,578$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.078251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over23c8,486$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.814740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over12c8,386$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c8,214$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.622,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c8,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under50c7,759$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.736758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21df…7078backed Under53c7,547$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over14c7,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07513811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under52c7,281$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.943754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over49c7,143$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under50c7,094$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.831,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.