TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over33c72,960$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under67c52,352$35,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,276.1674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c23,000$16,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c20,403$6,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,259.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under70c15,066$10,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,519.8177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over24c13,746$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c11,089$8,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c9,554$6,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c8,996$6,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over4c5,512$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c5,420$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under69c5,376$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.5670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c4,943$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c4,026$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c3,612$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.784,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c3,269$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c2,964$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.92,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c2,839$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over14c1,953$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over31c1,927$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under70c1,902$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.6964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Over30c1,871$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.23030%9 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over30c1,823$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.8214234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Over30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over30c1,506$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.811,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over30c1,496$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.811,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c1,360$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over1c1,270$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c1,197$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.71,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over24c1,040$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under69c999.94$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over29c999$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7115144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over27c893.63$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.442,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Over30c873.9$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.172317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over30c822.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over20c774$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.231,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c649.46$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.961,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c604.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.762,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over6c537.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over30c530.84$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.231,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over30c523.37$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.014940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over30c499.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0faf…fd5ebacked Over13c444.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606229%18 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dc…8703backed Over33c428.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over31c409.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.563,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over21c375$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over27c368.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x947a…8180backed Over31c322.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Over6c320.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199834.7%34 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over24c314.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3241444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Over32c314.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc93…7687backed Over31c311.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.591631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9628337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5119823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Over7c299.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6419047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over31c258$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.982,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb9…b97bbacked Over25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over32c237.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.948527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Over31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under73c225.57$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.753,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over32c222.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.71,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over19c220$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.523540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under70c196.09$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under70c182.63$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f74…caf7backed Over30c180.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.172356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6c…2352backed Over30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517536%27 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under70c163.4$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.021,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…0d5bbacked Under73c160.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.412352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Over30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over31c136$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1614829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8b8…dcdabacked Over31c127.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Over32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011625.9%30 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef8…60dcbacked Over32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Over33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011230.4%34 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e95…c044backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ed…4af7backed Over31c110.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2967…4ae7backed Over32c109.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Over49c107.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3116349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…0e81backed Over30c104.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315028%14 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1392…1998backed Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed Under70c103.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2217545.1%79 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d30…363cbacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.