Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c311104b2de40b3c389b72b637d194eaaacfb0e7cfa147774e105e35cf50ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 33c | 72,960$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 67c | 52,352$35,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,276.16 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 70c | 23,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 31c | 20,403$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.89 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 70c | 15,066$10,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.81 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 24c | 13,746$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.77 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 11,089$8,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 9,554$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.96 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 8,996$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.36 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 4c | 5,512$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 5,420$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 69c | 5,376$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.56 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 4,943$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 4,026$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.62 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 28c | 3,612$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Over | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 3,269$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 2,964$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.9 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 31c | 2,839$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 14c | 1,953$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 31c | 1,927$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 70c | 1,902$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.69 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Over | 30c | 1,871$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 30c | 1,823$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.82 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…b06abacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 30c | 1,506$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.81 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 30c | 1,496$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.81 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 70c | 1,360$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Over | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 1c | 1,270$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 1,197$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.7 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 24c | 1,040$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 69c | 999.94$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Over | 29c | 999$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 27c | 893.63$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Over | 30c | 873.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.17 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Over | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…3fe9backed Over | 30c | 822.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 20c | 774$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Over | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 69c | 649.46$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…b4b5backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 19c | 604.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 6c | 537.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 30c | 530.84$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over | 30c | 523.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Over | 13c | 444.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…8703backed Over | 33c | 428.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 31c | 409.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 21c | 375$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Over | 27c | 368.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…8180backed Over | 31c | 322.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Over | 6c | 320.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 24c | 314.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…db34backed Over | 32c | 314.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…7687backed Over | 31c | 311.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Over | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Over | 7c | 299.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 31c | 258$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…b97bbacked Over | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 32c | 237.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Over | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 225.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 32c | 222.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 19c | 220$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 196.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 70c | 182.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…caf7backed Over | 30c | 180.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…2352backed Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 70c | 163.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…0d5bbacked Under | 73c | 160.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 31c | 136$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…dcdabacked Over | 31c | 127.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…b41fbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef8…60dcbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…e1c3backed Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…c044backed Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…4af7backed Over | 31c | 110.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Over | 32c | 109.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Over | 49c | 107.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…0e81backed Over | 30c | 104.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…1998backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Under | 70c | 103.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 175 | 45.1%79 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.