Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65c752289ab1e3b4fde40b3909d9c0fc2b35849ad950a38cab30d19a80457a9a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Argentinaof Argentina, Austria
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,089,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,607,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,089,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa4b1…5143backed Argentina	39c	2,162,650$849,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312,651.17	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Austria	62c	1,580,623$978,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978,976.23	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d36…0e68backed Austria	61c	1,158,402$703,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703,905.7	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Austria	61c	687,308$421,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421,387.79	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Argentina	41c	365,852$149,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215,852.78	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Argentina	39c	350,000$136,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213,500	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Austria	59c	271,551$160,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160,031.68	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	38c	244,307$93,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151,232.73	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Argentina	41c	219,512$90,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129,512.2	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Argentina	40c	200,000$80,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119,999.86	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Austria	59c	200,000$118,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117,999.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Argentina	39c	183,906$71,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,229.98	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Austria	59c	155,555$91,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,777.39	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Austria	61c	152,000$92,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,520	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c5…c428backed Austria	60c	111,038$66,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,622.53	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Austria	60c	100,000$60,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,999.89	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Argentina	44c	90,403$39,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,877.25	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Argentina	33c	90,373$30,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,363.5	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Austria	59c	88,260$52,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,068.56	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	39c	85,833$33,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,089.5	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Argentina	39c	82,000$31,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,020	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Austria	59c	80,461$47,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,573.05	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Argentina	39c	80,000$31,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,800	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Austria	58c	60,000$35,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,000	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Argentina	39c	56,000$21,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,159.92	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Austria	58c	54,845$31,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,707	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Austria	59c	53,999$31,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,659.66	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Argentina	40c	51,446$20,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,867.58	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Austria	60c	50,000$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,999.96	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Austria	59c	50,000$29,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,499.94	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Argentina	39c	45,218$17,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,582.98	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Austria	60c	43,061$25,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,867.96	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Argentina	40c	34,573$14,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,573.17	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Argentina	33c	32,768$10,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,866.66	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Austria	54c	29,632$16,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,040.64	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina	38c	28,361$10,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,652.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	40c	27,134$10,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,280.4	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Austria	62c	26,193$16,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,239.55	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Argentina	41c	25,000$10,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,750	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Argentina	40c	25,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Argentina	32c	24,862$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,861.98	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…06dfbacked Argentina	41c	24,390$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,390.24	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Argentina	39c	24,000$9,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,639.99	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Austria	59c	20,974$12,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,374.39	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Austria	61c	19,672$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Austria	61c	17,092$10,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,411.99	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Austria	61c	16,390$9,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,997.97	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Austria	17c	15,349$2,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,546.86	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Austria	56c	15,000$8,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,400	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Argentina	43c	14,996$6,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,482.36	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Argentina	39c	14,554$5,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,877.89	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Austria	61c	14,363$8,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,766.81	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Argentina	41c	13,549$5,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,993.78	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Austria	59c	13,017$7,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,680.03	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Austria	71c	13,008$9,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,177.26	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Argentina	39c	13,000$5,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,930	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Argentina	39c	12,821$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,820.51	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Austria	59c	12,035$7,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,139.11	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Austria	59c	12,012$7,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,124.87	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Argentina	39c	11,947$4,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,287.45	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Austria	62c	11,290$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Austria	59c	11,111$6,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,555.29	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Austria	59c	10,417$6,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,184.75	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Argentina	39c	10,002$3,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,101.22	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Austria	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Austria	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Austria	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Austria	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Austria	0c	9,824$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Argentina	38c	9,800$3,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,075.82	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Austria	42c	9,718$4,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,068.58	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Austria	60c	9,545$5,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,727.11	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Austria	60c	9,000$5,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,379.99	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ae…faeabacked Argentina	39c	8,510$3,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,205.09	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Austria	62c	8,065$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Argentina	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+9.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Argentina	70c	7,603$5,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,283.25	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Argentina	39c	7,283$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,442.37	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Austria	62c	7,157$4,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,401.55	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-73%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Argentina	41c	7,073$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,173.17	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Argentina	75c	7,057$5,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,734.03	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Austria	64c	7,056$4,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.18	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Argentina	44c	6,666$2,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,732.96	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Austria	64c	6,603$4,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,205.68	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Argentina	39c	6,410$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,910.26	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Argentina	34c	6,183$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,082.72	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Argentina	41c	6,000$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,540	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Austria	58c	6,000$3,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,480	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Austria	59c	5,754$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,401.66	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Argentina	40c	5,654$2,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,392.6	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Austria	67c	5,500$3,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,684.99	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Austria	60c	5,474$3,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,295.03	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Argentina	41c	5,466$2,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,224.82	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Austria	60c	5,159$3,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085.65	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Austria	62c	5,141$3,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,195.02	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Austria	59c	5,085$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Argentina	40c	5,010$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.89	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Argentina	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Austria	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Argentina	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event