Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa727a02ea7cbbc805fcb0674a67bee71d0aa52748e9d9328f751878e5fbf4cfb

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Austriaof Argentina, Austria
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $733,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $744,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	19c	128,194$23,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,804.21	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Argentina	21c	107,844$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,500	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Austria	79c	74,350$58,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,567.48	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	20c	50,186$10,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,061.23	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Argentina	19c	33,000$6,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,269.92	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Argentina	19c	22,995$4,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,369.14	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x922a…34d3backed Argentina	23c	21,100$4,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,869.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Argentina	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Argentina	20c	11,454$2,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,343.6	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Austria	80c	9,824$7,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,012.24	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Austria	80c	8,954$7,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.8	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Argentina	19c	8,060$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531.48	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	21c	6,019$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.99	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Austria	80c	6,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Argentina	20c	5,550$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.1	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Argentina	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Argentina	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Argentina	30c	4,351$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.68	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Argentina	18c	4,169$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Argentina	20c	4,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Argentina	42c	3,953$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.8	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Argentina	40c	3,694$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.42	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Argentina	0c	3,614$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina	15c	3,229$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.21	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Argentina	21c	3,159$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.59	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Argentina	41c	2,938$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.27	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Argentina	21c	2,857$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f88…cd62backed Argentina	17c	2,827$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.18per pick	27cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina	20c	2,798$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.67	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Austria	54c	2,584$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,184.4	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Argentina	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Austria	57c	2,500$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075	198	50.5%100 W · 98 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…30e9backed Argentina	20c	2,430$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.29	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+190.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Argentina	22c	2,233$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.92	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Argentina	30c	2,214$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.87	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Argentina	5c	1,949$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.72	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Argentina	16c	1,854$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.28	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Argentina	20c	1,791$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.42	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Argentina	12c	1,600$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Austria	54c	1,535$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.77	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Austria	75c	1,500$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Argentina	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Austria	60c	1,419$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.14	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69e2…5969backed Argentina	21c	1,419$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.94	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Austria	80c	1,400$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Argentina	18c	1,389$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…1923backed Austria	80c	1,307$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.44	65	72.3%47 W · 18 L	+7.5wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina	15c	1,302$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.25	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Argentina	16c	1,243$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.47	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Argentina	24c	1,170$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.84	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Argentina	21c	1,123$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.35	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Argentina	4c	1,112$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.22	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Argentina	20c	1,111$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Argentina	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Argentina	19c	1,108$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.57	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Austria	64c	1,077$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.68	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Austria	59c	1,070$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.26	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Argentina	20c	1,050$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Argentina	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Argentina	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Argentina	19c	999.99$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Austria	79c	999.99$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Austria	79c	973.87$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.72	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Argentina	20c	964.85$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.97	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked Argentina	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…8c99backed Argentina	16c	919.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Austria	80c	856.74$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.95	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Argentina	24c	827.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Austria	80c	825.9$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.19	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Argentina	21c	808.48$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.78	164	41.5%68 W · 96 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Austria	80c	706.8$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.39	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Argentina	20c	605.3$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.06	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Argentina	18c	603$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.94	79	11.4%9 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Argentina	15c	601.79$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Argentina	18c	568$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Austria	61c	563$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.57	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Austria	78c	560.4$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.29	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Argentina	20c	550$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d09…5017backed Argentina	18c	549.99$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Argentina	20c	520$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.9	152	35.5%54 W · 98 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Argentina	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Argentina	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Argentina	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Argentina	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Argentina	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	263	43%113 W · 150 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c80…60adbacked Argentina	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed Argentina	20c	498.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f4…200ebacked Argentina	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	43.3%52 W · 68 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5a…7032backed Argentina	19c	465$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.35	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Argentina	6c	450.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Austria	80c	396.97$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.37	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Argentina	19c	381.47$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Austria	79c	374.4$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.62	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Austria	80c	372.94$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.59	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Argentina	20c	334.35$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.87	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Argentina	30c	321.35$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.11	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Argentina	19c	315.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Austria	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Austria	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Argentina	20c	280$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	152	34.2%52 W · 100 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)this page
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event