TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over10c16,832$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.868316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over11c9,639$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.852,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c7,318$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5915…db2bbacked Over20c5,450$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.062536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over14c4,818$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.111,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c4,081$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over14c3,758$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c3,303$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c80…60adbacked Over14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-36.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Over14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509322.6%21 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Over3c2,222$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.666429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over16c2,000$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3737237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Over7c1,999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.956434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over3c1,842$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9793…789cbacked Over14c1,816$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.17306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Over14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c867.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.922,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over13c799.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d1…4ac1backed Over14c750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105100%0 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6745…232abacked Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005420.4%11 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over14c643.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.077911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c633.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Over13c539.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.29637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c535.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over5c521.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7328535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over14c414.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5825737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over8c372.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Over14c371.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over13c370.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Over12c358$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9631842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0872…8cbfbacked Over14c352.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.312931%9 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Over14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over9c346.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1271939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c345.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over15c338.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over14c323.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2427742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over12c308.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3743819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…2b74backed Over9c307.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over14c292.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd831…6fccbacked Over11c271.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over10c251.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over13c225.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under78c223.85$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over6c216.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1349426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5d…7590backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304632.6%15 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0a…30d6backed Over14c209.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c202.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b64…dab3backed Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286123%14 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d95…54efbacked Over13c194$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.226124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under79c185.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.311,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d4…9409backed Over12c167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.045350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae7…cc66backed Over14c144.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.257534.7%26 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec6…2ad1backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201578.9%14 W · 143 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…5c14backed Over14c141.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.832317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7d0d…7751backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…f247backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143613.9%5 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144615.2%7 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6899backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over23c86.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Over14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under79c71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Under80c34.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9816349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under80c28.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.692,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.