Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c39cfa3f50dee4269de0dfe85c37f416ef85ffe3c84c79b02b33b23c77b153f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Over | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Over | 10c | 16,832$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.86 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 9,639$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.85 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 13c | 7,318$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Over | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…db2bbacked Over | 20c | 5,450$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 14c | 4,818$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.11 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 4,081$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 14c | 3,758$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 3,303$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c80…60adbacked Over | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…642cbacked Over | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Over | 3c | 2,222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 16c | 2,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Over | 7c | 1,999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 3c | 1,842$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Over | 14c | 1,816$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.17 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Over | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 867.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…4ac1backed Over | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…232abacked Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Over | 14c | 643.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 633.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Over | 13c | 539.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 535.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 5c | 521.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 170 | 30%51 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed Over | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 14c | 414.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 8c | 372.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Over | 14c | 371.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 13c | 370.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…35a6backed Over | 12c | 358$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0872…8cbfbacked Over | 14c | 352.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Over | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 9c | 346.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 15c | 345.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…62ccbacked Over | 15c | 338.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 14c | 323.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 12c | 308.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…2b74backed Over | 9c | 307.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 14c | 292.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…6fccbacked Over | 11c | 271.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 10c | 251.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 225.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 78c | 223.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…30d6backed Over | 14c | 209.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 7c | 202.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…dab3backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…54efbacked Over | 13c | 194$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 79c | 185.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…9409backed Over | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cc66backed Over | 14c | 144.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec6…2ad1backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…5468backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 8.9%14 W · 143 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…5c14backed Over | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 12c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…7751backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…24d1backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…f247backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6899backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…ead7backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 86.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Over | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 79c | 71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Under | 80c | 34.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 28.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.