TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b64…dab3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT7448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.52
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.31
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.28
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.25
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.08
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.51
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.25
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.06
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.85
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.08
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.08
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.05
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.38
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.37
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.28
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.14
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.51
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.02
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+169.5%+$406.84
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$48.98
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$195.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$189.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.67
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$82.99
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.