Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5349e35dbb48d2521e906b976eb4a271631e53ef6d7929ccbe4d7f78e3bdfe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,008$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes | 7c | 18,668$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.2 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Yes | 4c | 18,560$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.7 | 221 | 19.9%44 W · 177 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,836$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 1c | 13,353$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 5c | 8,541$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…4d62backed Yes | 20c | 7,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 10c | 5,651$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.82 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 5,532$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…618dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,295$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +442.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 2c | 4,746$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 134 | 7.5%10 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 4,345$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 7c | 4,250$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.94 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,239$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes | 5c | 4,207$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 239 | 14.2%34 W · 205 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 3c | 3,497$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 2,625$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…d0d3backed Yes | 4c | 2,604$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 20c | 2,529$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 5c | 2,075$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,735$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,647$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 1c | 1,512$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 15c | 1,332$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…e157backed Yes | 2c | 1,220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 9c | 1,183$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…d9d0backed Yes | 3c | 979.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 2c | 956.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 7c | 822.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 164 | 17.1%28 W · 136 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…7599backed Yes | 2c | 820.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 17%39 W · 191 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…80ddbacked Yes | 21c | 698.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 7c | 695$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…0cfabacked Yes | 19c | 663.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 281 | 13.5%38 W · 243 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf61…2ed5backed Yes | 6c | 629.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…7cb1backed Yes | 4c | 579.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…63a2backed Yes | 12c | 568.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…dafdbacked Yes | 4c | 567.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes | 9c | 566.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…eeb5backed Yes | 9c | 528.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…ff0ebacked Yes | 9c | 524.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 6c | 524.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…f0d2backed Yes | 3c | 500.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed Yes | 24c | 412.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 3c | 411.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…dc51backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked Yes | 16c | 396.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…7b50backed Yes | 5c | 380.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…8b3ebacked Yes | 8c | 347.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…dab3backed Yes | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…3127backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 6c | 296.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…1461backed Yes | 11c | 270.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed Yes | 21c | 263.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ecaabacked Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…eb0cbacked Yes | 16c | 229.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…36dbbacked Yes | 10c | 209.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…cbf5backed Yes | 8c | 202.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…74c5backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…f321backed Yes | 14c | 191$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 71c | 184.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes | 9c | 160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…0a16backed Yes | 11c | 141.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…ceb0backed No | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…7b12backed Yes | 13c | 124$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 207 | 17.4%36 W · 171 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes | 11c | 123$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 519 | 8.3%43 W · 476 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 22c | 119.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…7c2fbacked Yes | 20c | 112.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 17%16 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…8b9cbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Yes | 21c | 96.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb8…aa4fbacked Yes | 25c | 79.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5343backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Yes | 22c | 67.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…aeb6backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…1dc9backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.