TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ec…7158

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+239.7%+$238.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+475.5%+$423.64
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+157.7%+$31.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+502%+$99.4
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.95
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.02
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.2
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+107.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.76
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150.2%+$59.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.7%+$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.