Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Alexandra Eala vs Claire Liu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33fbc34ecaf934b355912dabf6115e7349aba4ff7f33b40f299fc40c219f4e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liuof Eala, Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eala | 76c | 8,516$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liu | 22c | 5,219$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liu | 28c | 5,118$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eala | 72c | 5,060$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.3 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Eala | 72c | 4,165$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.06 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Liu | 33c | 2,517$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.11 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Liu | 41c | 2,409$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.94 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Eala | 76c | 1,805$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.47 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Liu | 23c | 1,447$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.11 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Eala | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Liu | 32c | 907.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.83 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Liu | 28c | 794.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.4 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Liu | 24c | 666.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.67 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Liu | 35c | 538.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.32 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Liu | 28c | 423.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Eala | 64c | 412$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Liu | 27c | 273$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Eala | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Liu | 14c | 205.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Eala | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Eala | 72c | 139.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Liu | 40c | 138.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Eala | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked Liu | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Liu | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Liu | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed Liu | 23c | 86.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…6ebcbacked Liu | 40c | 79.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eala | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Eala | 65c | 33.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Eala | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.