TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcddc…63ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+301.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$213.99
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+502.4%+$83.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+777.4%+$234.84
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+7,608.7%+$1,514.89
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.49
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$59.34
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.14
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54.99
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.69
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45.65
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+400%+$205.13
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.75
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+614.3%+$177.93
Heat vs. Spursbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.72
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.61
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.33
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.64
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49.86
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+203%+$60.9
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+163.2%+$33.06
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.97
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$29.63
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$79.67
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+248.4%+$248.43
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.24
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.33
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.35
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.47
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$56.5
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.91
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Joblife vs DNSTY (BO3)backed Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$109.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.