TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Griekspoorof Griekspoor, Nakashima
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Griekspoor48c25,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,099.9937450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Nakashima51c14,617$7,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,503.042119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nakashima53c9,095$4,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.5814345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nakashima29c6,675$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nakashima38c4,510$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Nakashima36c3,081$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11418933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Nakashima34c3,026$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.4315832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Nakashima52c2,823$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.7310845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nakashima29c2,534$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.448,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nakashima24c2,047$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7552844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Griekspoor49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nakashima50c1,993$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.652,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1183…14ccbacked Griekspoor50c1,937$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd180…4276backed Nakashima51c1,628$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Griekspoor77c1,546$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.084852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Griekspoor52c1,481$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.7714549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Griekspoor52c1,061$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0928443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Griekspoor49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Nakashima55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Griekspoor77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Griekspoor73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Griekspoor51c977.27$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8638348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Nakashima20c934$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Griekspoor51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.316737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nakashima22c765.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7724544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Griekspoor50c698.28$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.288243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nakashima50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b95…d040backed Nakashima55c545.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc913…81d6backed Griekspoor47c545$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Griekspoor76c510.84$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Nakashima37c509.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.911,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Nakashima20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017741.8%74 W · 103 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Griekspoor73c493.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Griekspoor47c472.16$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1651849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Nakashima25c416.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20eb…0bddbacked Griekspoor49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Griekspoor50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20062742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Griekspoor52c384.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7320257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Griekspoor53c375.06$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8517442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Nakashima24c333.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.89140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Nakashima23c307.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8775547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Griekspoor73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Griekspoor48c284.86$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Nakashima37c269.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Nakashima54c257.87$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Griekspoor45c250.49$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.771,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Nakashima51c241.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12311647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Griekspoor52c236$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.462634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Griekspoor75c229.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Nakashima47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Griekspoor48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10410251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Griekspoor50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Nakashima51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Griekspoor51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Nakashima53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Griekspoor48c177.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Nakashima29c174.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Nakashima25c158.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Griekspoor72c149.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Nakashima27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Griekspoor51c142$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7049749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc9…7db1backed Nakashima36c133.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Griekspoor50c130.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3966831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Griekspoor52c125.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.292737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Griekspoor68c113.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.676675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Griekspoor80c110$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69fc…3f73backed Nakashima19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Griekspoor51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Griekspoor47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5318338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Griekspoor50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc936…8a5ebacked Griekspoor51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5383…cb45backed Griekspoor76c83.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Griekspoor48c82.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.692,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Griekspoor52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf6…b5cbbacked Nakashima33c76.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bba…cf95backed Griekspoor46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+103.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28c…be33backed Griekspoor49c74.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.242661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52a4…52f7backed Griekspoor47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.473669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Nakashima25c71.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5e…c917backed Nakashima23c70.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Nakashima23c69.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.117535.4%62 W · 113 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb33…532cbacked Nakashima21c69.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Griekspoor49c68.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Nakashima55c66.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.55050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Griekspoor51c66.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Griekspoor80c63.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752576%19 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe094…4410backed Nakashima33c63.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Griekspoor79c63.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3512974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcddc…63edbacked Nakashima31c55.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nakashima55c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.726746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Griekspoor57c52.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Nakashima20c51.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2749632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Nakashima23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Griekspoor79c40.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe57…721cbacked Griekspoor47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32e8…8291backed Griekspoor76c34.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c0…403bbacked Nakashima58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Griekspoor50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…6acabacked Griekspoor77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Griekspoor47c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.981,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.