TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d37…59b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT9462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Filsbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.41
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Iasi Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Miami Open, Qualification: Yunchaokete Bu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.59
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Tomovabacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.58
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.29
Cap Cana: Mattia Bellucci vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$93.26
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$30.61
Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Toby Samuelbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.67
Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$28.79
Antalya 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$45.88
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$32.37
Santiago: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$27.27
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.69
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$81.6
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.84
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.49
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Pistons vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.85
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$58.7
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+163.9%+$32.77
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.67
Magic vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$28.36
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.78
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,617.09
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$54.25
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+93.1%+$158.84
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$162.46
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16.15
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$214.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+398%+$596.95
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$34.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.