UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2569d72beb31d3cc3f47f1f43177a191cc5bfa6d1faaa590eb049c23c32d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vallejosof Chikadze, Vallejos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chikadze | 23c | 46,763$10,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,755.43 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…237abacked Vallejos | 77c | 40,047$30,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,210.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Chikadze | 22c | 20,156$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.41 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vallejos | 77c | 17,940$13,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.52 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Vallejos | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vallejos | 76c | 10,000$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.33 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chikadze | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Chikadze | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Vallejos | 74c | 7,220$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.18 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Vallejos | 77c | 7,214$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Chikadze | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Chikadze | 24c | 5,630$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.68 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Chikadze | 24c | 5,050$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chikadze | 25c | 4,892$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.09 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Vallejos | 77c | 4,247$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.92 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Chikadze | 25c | 4,156$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.02 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Vallejos | 73c | 3,937$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.58 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Chikadze | 25c | 3,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Vallejos | 77c | 3,885$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.52 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Vallejos | 77c | 3,635$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chikadze | 24c | 3,275$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Vallejos | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Chikadze | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Vallejos | 80c | 3,000$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.21 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Chikadze | 25c | 2,960$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Chikadze | 26c | 2,800$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Vallejos | 75c | 2,666$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Chikadze | 5c | 2,417$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed Vallejos | 76c | 2,118$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Vallejos | 78c | 2,041$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.02 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Vallejos | 76c | 2,017$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Vallejos | 75c | 2,015$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.59 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Vallejos | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vallejos | 73c | 1,968$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.54 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chikadze | 27c | 1,859$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Chikadze | 23c | 1,838$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chikadze | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Chikadze | 26c | 1,787$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Vallejos | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Chikadze | 23c | 1,563$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Chikadze | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Vallejos | 76c | 1,402$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vallejos | 74c | 1,212$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Vallejos | 77c | 1,032$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.36 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Chikadze | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Vallejos | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Vallejos | 76c | 996.08$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Vallejos | 77c | 974.03$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Chikadze | 31c | 962.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Chikadze | 24c | 912.04$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e96…5bcdbacked Vallejos | 77c | 845.22$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Chikadze | 31c | 807.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Vallejos | 75c | 800$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786e…a308backed Vallejos | 67c | 759.59$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Chikadze | 27c | 744.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Chikadze | 27c | 737.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Chikadze | 23c | 717.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Vallejos | 77c | 673.33$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Chikadze | 24c | 666$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vallejos | 70c | 616.43$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Vallejos | 75c | 576.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Chikadze | 27c | 567.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Vallejos | 78c | 564.1$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Vallejos | 78c | 527.76$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Vallejos | 66c | 515.09$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chikadze | 24c | 510.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Chikadze | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Chikadze | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Vallejos | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Chikadze | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…c45dbacked Chikadze | 24c | 494$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Chikadze | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Vallejos | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Vallejos | 77c | 421.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Chikadze | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…0962backed Chikadze | 26c | 405.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Vallejos | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Chikadze | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Vallejos | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Chikadze | 26c | 399.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Vallejos | 78c | 397$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Vallejos | 74c | 385.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Vallejos | 78c | 371.79$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…f147backed Vallejos | 77c | 311.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Chikadze | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Chikadze | 27c | 299.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Vallejos | 74c | 297.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Chikadze | 27c | 285.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Chikadze | 24c | 277.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Chikadze | 24c | 275$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Vallejos | 75c | 266.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Vallejos | 76c | 263.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Chikadze | 24c | 229.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Vallejos | 78c | 223.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Vallejos | 75c | 222.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Chikadze | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6776…1e7fbacked Vallejos | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Chikadze | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…3e5abacked Chikadze | 27c | 205.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vallejos | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.