TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5344…c194

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$218.12
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$74.55
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$159.9
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$119.86
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$81.71
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$125
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100.6%+$241.54
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+143%+$900.33
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$154.44
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$133.57
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+120.9%+$134.24
Spread: Rams (-4.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$112.09
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+111.5%+$267.59
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$272
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+270.4%+$202.78
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+107.9%+$17.89
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$445.15
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.2%+$357.99
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Cardinals vs. Texans: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$374
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$93.24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$216.89
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$388.35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$614.92
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+110.4%+$262.46
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+48.6%+$382.22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$218
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$43.31
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+138.1%+$276.19
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$339.64
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.5%+$170.41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$335
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$135.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$279.88
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$278
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$106.03
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$548.7
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+266.6%+$389.64
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+111.7%+$519.51
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+278.6%+$496.62
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+212.4%+$174.09
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+118.2%+$118.17
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$79
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+65%+$165.7
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$288.83
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+57%+$200.65
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37.07
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,059.58
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70.11
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+62.6%+$157.16
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$60.57
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+203%+$81.21
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$239.99
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$76.28
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$98
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+36.5%+$54.64
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$254.65
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$135.1
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$269.04
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$44.04
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$95.57
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$40.49
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$162.81
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.5%+$153.33
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$69.78
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+55.2%+$82.97
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$478.71
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.6%+$60.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+86%+$300.88
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+153.8%+$359.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+92.7%+$69.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.5%+$122.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$153.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$114.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.