NFL · resolved market

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545ad146746cd4238ee2dcc29af73cdc44f1c8f43ce82e92ca34c75fd06dc4ce

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ravensof Ravens, Bengals
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $195,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,411 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Ravens	54c	65,865$35,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,100.32	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Bengals	45c	58,671$26,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,283.35	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Ravens	55c	39,377$21,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,719.65	111	68.5%76 W · 35 L	+18.5wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Bengals	45c	32,617$14,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,583.79	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Bengals	45c	12,313$5,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,540.93	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Bengals	48c	10,950$5,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,256	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+14.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bengals	45c	9,900$4,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,455	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Ravens	55c	9,303$5,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,186.31	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.99	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bengals	46c	7,519$3,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,492.06	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Ravens	57c	6,925$3,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,984.92	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ravens	56c	6,130$3,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,697.35	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Bengals	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	128	42.2%54 W · 74 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ravens	56c	4,548$2,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,010.03	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bengals	45c	4,046$1,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820.71	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ravens	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.36	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Ravens	53c	2,863$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.73	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Ravens	56c	2,400$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Bengals	46c	2,169$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Bengals	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ravens	58c	1,920$1,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.28	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ravens	55c	1,720$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.8	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bengals	45c	1,540$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Ravens	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Ravens	56c	1,356$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.64	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Bengals	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Bengals	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Bengals	48c	1,043$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.6	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bengals	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Bengals	44c	800$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ravens	55c	722.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.21	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Bengals	45c	700$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Ravens	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Ravens	53c	639$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.33	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Bengals	56c	610.71$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Bengals	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Ravens	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	163	51.5%84 W · 79 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Bengals	43c	575.8$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Bengals	45c	563.62$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.63	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Ravens	55c	551.28$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.88	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c56…269fbacked Bengals	52c	548.33$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-7.2wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Bengals	46c	490.7$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.72	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ravens	56c	465.32$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.54	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Bengals	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Bengals	47c	426.76$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bengals	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bengals	48c	416$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.68	139	59%82 W · 57 L	+12.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Bengals	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Ravens	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae4…1df2backed Ravens	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Bengals	46c	399.98$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.99	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Ravens	56c	390$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.6	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Ravens	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	164	51.2%84 W · 80 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Bengals	48c	370$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.6	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bengals	44c	312$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.28	143	66.4%95 W · 48 L	+13.0wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Bengals	47c	311.72$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Ravens	54c	299.94$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.97	149	49%73 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bengals	50c	287.09$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.96	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6422…a346backed Ravens	53c	283.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.02	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Bengals	22c	280.75$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Ravens	54c	280$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Ravens	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Ravens	55c	250$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	243	52.7%128 W · 115 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ravens	49c	233.76$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.9	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Bengals	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Bengals	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Ravens	52c	193$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.64	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Ravens	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b3…f676backed Ravens	53c	188.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.62	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Ravens	56c	183.93$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.93	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Ravens	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Bengals	43c	162.39$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ravens	55c	161.25$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.56	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Bengals	45c	150.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.74	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Bengals	46c	146.66$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.17	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed Bengals	50c	142.73$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Bengals	44c	132$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.08	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bengals	46c	131.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.34	320	50.9%163 W · 157 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bengals	48c	124$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	205	55.6%114 W · 91 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Bengals	48c	117.06$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.19	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Ravens	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Bengals	46c	114.72$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.54	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Bengals	44c	112$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Bengals	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ravens	53c	106.38$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Bengals	46c	106$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Ravens	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Ravens	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Bengals	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c8…cf43backed Bengals	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Ravens	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Bengals	47c	93.62$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Bengals	48c	93$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	140	60.7%85 W · 55 L	+14.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Bengals	48c	93$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bengals	48c	93$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x205c…f554backed Ravens	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Ravens	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	89	56.2%50 W · 39 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Bengals	48c	92$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.16	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Ravens	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+5.6wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8636…f893backed Ravens	54c	89$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)this page
Rashod Bateman: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
Ravens vs. BengalsRavens won
Ravens vs. Bengals: 1H MoneylineRavens won
Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5Under won
Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5Under won
Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Ravens won
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Ravens won
Tee Higgins: Anytime TouchdownNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Ravens (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event