TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d5…fe30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST4235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$44.3
Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$43.42
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$83.67
Pistons vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70.93
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$62.19
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78.15
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80.29
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$162.84
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$70.92
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$69.48
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$75.27
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$289.5
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$37.82
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$301.32
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47.28
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$53.27
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$42.55
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$92.72
Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$47.7
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$48.25
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70.93
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49.22
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.4
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$289.5
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$236.19
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$301.32
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+221.5%+$312.29
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$122.62
Spread: Bears (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$301.32
Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$207.83
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$253.63
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$201.55
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$93.59
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$55.57
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$64.33
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$96.5
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$46.25
Spread: LAR (-9.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$93.74
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$182.29
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+90.7%+$286.06
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$72.8
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$166.92
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$483.74
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-67.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+212.7%+$280.34
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$26.62
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$289.31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$267.31
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$204.41
Spread: Washington (-9.5)backed Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.97
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80.15
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$150.94
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$84.55
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300.02
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$416.55
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+97.9%+$396.25
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$376.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$170.02
Sharks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$56.67
Sharks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$96.5
Jets vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$193
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+93.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+195.4%+$188.53
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+186.7%+$180.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$143.08
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+106.6%+$523.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.9%+$30.77
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$289.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.