NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1366e698af8d3f6f7d5cb242c01d0d6d6b1a1c56df070909cd5a9c73035ef664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $771,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Over | 46c | 210,000$96,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,474.25 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 54c | 146,029$78,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,855.53 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 80,099$36,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,604.43 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 55c | 44,501$24,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,475.82 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 31,768$17,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,094.72 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Under | 55c | 22,257$12,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,241.44 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 11,961$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.06 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 10,022$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.18 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 3,448$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 47c | 2,972$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.15 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 2,630$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.1 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 2,224$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,918$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.36 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 1,425$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.75 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,404$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.95 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.52 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 1,097$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.45 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 48c | 967.24$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 48c | 675$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Under | 55c | 429.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Over | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 55c | 203.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Under | 53c | 171.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 55c | 111.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 53c | 99.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Under | 56c | 98.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Under | 55c | 88.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Under | 55c | 65.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Under | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Over | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Under | 55c | 44.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Under | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…941cbacked Over | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…fe95backed Under | 55c | 21.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-1.5)Rams won
- Rams vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineRams won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 39.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.