TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$532,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$538,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c297,005$143,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,422.8286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under52c250,000$130,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,00030043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over50c92,440$45,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,52027454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under50c68,226$34,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,11317454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under51c52,346$26,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,696.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Under50c47,425$23,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,712.516836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c17,721$8,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,678.2624957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c17,603$9,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,506.4431240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.995850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c14,601$7,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,226.751,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Under50c13,787$6,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,893.2519645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Over49c9,291$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.311741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c7,869$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.83844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.144452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over50c7,777$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.524056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under50c5,148$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.8114154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Over51c4,075$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.754949%24 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c3,889$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.2554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,448$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.485038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under50c2,172$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.9114757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Over48c2,138$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.0817548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02015044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c1,992$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c1,506$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Under52c1,492$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.896943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under52c1,486$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.7111759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c1,463$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.4321254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under52c1,298$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6754259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over51c1,255$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.913641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over50c1,068$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53415555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c1,053$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4431450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c1,030$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…6471backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.26233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f8…5897backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over16c700.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35014151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Under51c652.94$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33312634.1%43 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over50c607.26$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.147841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29418744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30020949.8%104 W · 105 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c530$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2977052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over51c467.39$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1610547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965032%16 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20231540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under48c356$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8814366.4%95 W · 48 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over51c314$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8630442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15611752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under51c289.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8824243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…5c44backed Under50c289.44$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over49c280.19$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1920354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under50c255$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309950.5%50 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Over51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.613845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Over52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.773046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over49c230$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.815353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c204.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10255345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c144.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.953253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Over49c136.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8520851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under52c129.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.626647%31 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c101.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6935648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5118745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Over50c92.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5210256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Over50c91.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9210252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.246946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d1…149cbacked Over50c65.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.811435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0488…aea5backed Over51c64.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.614348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.025855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255341.5%22 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.912141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+117.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8230%0 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2216940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Over50c38.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf7f…0b18backed Over50c38.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31580%12 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.