NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258bca1db9969f2b8bab9f9870ba032022989d0b5d0806cd647a1226a2fc8c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Over | 41c | 200,000$81,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,010.6 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 59c | 197,725$116,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,657.75 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 39c | 8,810$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.8 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 60c | 2,650$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.84 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 60c | 2,549$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 40c | 2,050$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 1,628$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.63 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 56c | 660$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 660$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 350$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 43c | 322.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 40c | 249$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Over | 48c | 230$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…7117backed Under | 63c | 222.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 37c | 182.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 140.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…0beebacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 92.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…04bebacked Under | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 55c | 57.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Over | 42c | 44.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…8e32backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…74e8backed Over | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 44c | 32.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked Over | 45c | 32.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…abc3backed Over | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…b7c0backed Over | 43c | 31.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…ae9fbacked Over | 45c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…8e6dbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…a6d3backed Over | 45c | 27.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…66e6backed Under | 57c | 25.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…d93ebacked Under | 57c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…7f1abacked Over | 45c | 25.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…80f6backed Under | 57c | 25.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked Under | 57c | 24.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…7cb3backed Under | 60c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…67b5backed Over | 44c | 24.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…0c27backed Over | 45c | 24.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…f1a8backed Under | 57c | 24.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…eb4ebacked Over | 45c | 23.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed Under | 57c | 23.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…ad82backed Under | 57c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…76afbacked Under | 57c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…bb62backed Under | 57c | 21.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…eec6backed Under | 57c | 20.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…6a57backed Under | 57c | 20.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-1.5)Rams won
- Rams vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineRams won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 39.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.