NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220857c76bf9cfe20d10b48e52162a62b45f1eab10f44f6cf9a25159ab16dd32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Rams, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 56c | 10,064$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.9 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Rams | 44c | 7,450$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.1 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Rams | 44c | 4,157$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.54 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seahawks | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.58 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rams | 43c | 2,292$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.56 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Seahawks | 57c | 2,120$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.53 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Seahawks | 56c | 2,035$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.4 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Seahawks | 55c | 1,831$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Rams | 46c | 824.57$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rams | 46c | 591.69$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Seahawks | 54c | 523.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed Rams | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Seahawks | 55c | 384.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Rams | 45c | 253.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…be90backed Rams | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Seahawks | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…7c59backed Rams | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…ab75backed Rams | 45c | 130.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8a73backed Rams | 44c | 125.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Rams | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Rams | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks | 52c | 114.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…252ebacked Rams | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Rams | 45c | 109.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Rams | 45c | 100.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rams | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Rams | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Seahawks | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Rams | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rams | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Rams | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Seahawks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Rams | 43c | 95.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rams | 46c | 79.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rams | 46c | 75.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Seahawks | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Seahawks | 55c | 72.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Seahawks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…1ba3backed Seahawks | 56c | 66.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Rams | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Rams | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Rams | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Rams | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…81f0backed Rams | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…a943backed Rams | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Rams | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…59a4backed Rams | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Rams | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Rams | 43c | 39.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Rams | 48c | 37.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Seahawks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rams | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Seahawks | 51c | 33.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rams | 46c | 31.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rams | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Rams | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Seahawks | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Rams | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Rams | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…0d00backed Seahawks | 54c | 25.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked Rams | 49c | 25.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Seahawks | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Rams | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed Seahawks | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Seahawks | 51c | 22.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…29d3backed Seahawks | 54c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Rams | 48c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…cdd1backed Rams | 49c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…1ebdbacked Seahawks | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…cba2backed Seahawks | 54c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…3cc1backed Rams | 48c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Seahawks | 57c | 21.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-1.5)Rams won
- Rams vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineRams won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 39.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.