TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x092f…252e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$73.88
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+148.6%+$40.43
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42.2
Spread: Rams (-1.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$54.29
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$44.9
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$12.27
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$23.07
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+243.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+243.5%+$48.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$44.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$140.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$62.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.