College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7429012662692792bdd0d4bf7292a1e7cfe35667340d9662fea6756dc3bad983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madisonof Oregon, James Madison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,124,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,120,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,124,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oregon | 44c | 460,000$203,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,699.48 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed James Madison | 57c | 447,992$253,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,248.82 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Oregon | 44c | 276,691$121,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,364.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked James Madison | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed James Madison | 56c | 150,799$84,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,351.45 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed James Madison | 56c | 81,939$45,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,151.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked James Madison | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Oregon | 59c | 31,307$18,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,554.09 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed James Madison | 56c | 30,000$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oregon | 43c | 27,892$11,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.78 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Oregon | 50c | 24,819$12,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,376.71 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Oregon | 44c | 18,950$8,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,338 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon | 42c | 18,367$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Oregon | 43c | 18,100$7,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,783 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oregon | 44c | 18,049$7,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,964.2 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed James Madison | 12c | 16,476$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,576.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon | 40c | 16,087$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.86 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked James Madison | 55c | 11,993$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Oregon | 43c | 11,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon | 40c | 10,801$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.52 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked James Madison | 55c | 9,241$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oregon | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed James Madison | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Oregon | 41c | 7,900$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed James Madison | 58c | 7,698$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.11 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Oregon | 43c | 7,694$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Oregon | 43c | 7,638$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.34 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oregon | 44c | 6,825$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.94 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Oregon | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…2204backed Oregon | 45c | 5,440$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Oregon | 43c | 4,700$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oregon | 44c | 3,358$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.94 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Oregon | 47c | 2,540$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed James Madison | 55c | 2,330$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.49 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Oregon | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…6ee2backed Oregon | 45c | 2,191$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Oregon | 45c | 2,073$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed James Madison | 56c | 2,054$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.57 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed James Madison | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed James Madison | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Oregon | 45c | 1,993$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Oregon | 44c | 1,587$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Oregon | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Oregon | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed James Madison | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oregon | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oregon | 47c | 1,201$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.87 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed James Madison | 55c | 1,185$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed James Madison | 52c | 1,163$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.73 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Oregon | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Oregon | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Oregon | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Oregon | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Oregon | 44c | 999.93$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed James Madison | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Oregon | 45c | 624.44$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…0a66backed Oregon | 47c | 618.86$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed James Madison | 14c | 603.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.11 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed James Madison | 56c | 563.04$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Oregon | 45c | 560.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Oregon | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked James Madison | 57c | 529.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Oregon | 45c | 528.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Oregon | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Oregon | 25c | 490.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Oregon | 44c | 459.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Oregon | 43c | 449.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Oregon | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Oregon | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed James Madison | 54c | 433.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed James Madison | 57c | 408.9$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Oregon | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed James Madison | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed James Madison | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Oregon | 43c | 287.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed James Madison | 57c | 279.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Oregon | 44c | 253.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed James Madison | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked James Madison | 6c | 242.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…f027backed Oregon | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Oregon | 43c | 232.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Oregon | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Oregon | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Oregon | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Oregon | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed James Madison | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Oregon | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b6…a5f3backed Oregon | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Oregon | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Oregon | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Oregon | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed James Madison | 56c | 196.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oregon | 43c | 189.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Oregon | 45c | 186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked James Madison | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Oregon | 60c | 167.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oregon | 45c | 159.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…6af8backed Oregon | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oregon (-21.5)this page
- James Madison vs. OregonOregon won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: 1H MoneylineOregon won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 45.5Over won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 46.5Over won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 47.5Over won
- O/U 50.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.