College Football · resolved market
James Madison vs. Oregon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919ad580715a7667477e1e9ad6c6933b4ae2c3f84d6b3486d0ac10bd2404d704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof James Madison, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,438,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,534,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,438,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked James Madison | 7c | 500,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed James Madison | 7c | 200,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked James Madison | 7c | 147,543$10,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,960.58 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed James Madison | 7c | 101,082$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.45 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed James Madison | 9c | 30,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…1c56backed James Madison | 10c | 22,150$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked James Madison | 7c | 15,082$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked James Madison | 8c | 14,076$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.28 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked James Madison | 8c | 13,261$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked James Madison | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed James Madison | 8c | 9,972$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.61 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed James Madison | 8c | 7,436$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked James Madison | 4c | 7,197$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…5a57backed James Madison | 8c | 5,438$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked James Madison | 5c | 3,927$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…4064backed James Madison | 8c | 3,773$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed James Madison | 4c | 3,760$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed James Madison | 7c | 3,001$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked James Madison | 8c | 2,413$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed James Madison | 4c | 2,260$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed James Madison | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed James Madison | 9c | 2,208$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked James Madison | 2c | 2,104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked James Madison | 4c | 2,070$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed James Madison | 6c | 2,026$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed James Madison | 7c | 1,992$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked James Madison | 6c | 1,763$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…8629backed James Madison | 8c | 1,536$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked James Madison | 1c | 1,527$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked James Madison | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed James Madison | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed James Madison | 8c | 1,400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…4965backed James Madison | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed James Madison | 8c | 1,218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked James Madison | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed James Madison | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed James Madison | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed James Madison | 7c | 958$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…61d1backed James Madison | 8c | 922.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed James Madison | 8c | 877.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked James Madison | 3c | 809.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed James Madison | 8c | 799.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed James Madison | 6c | 750$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked James Madison | 8c | 749.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…1bd1backed James Madison | 7c | 747.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed James Madison | 8c | 725$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed James Madison | 8c | 725$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…3ee1backed James Madison | 4c | 650$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed James Madison | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked James Madison | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…6733backed James Madison | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked James Madison | 9c | 605.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked James Madison | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked James Madison | 7c | 525$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed James Madison | 8c | 525$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed James Madison | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed James Madison | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…0c97backed James Madison | 8c | 472$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…2e6cbacked James Madison | 4c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed James Madison | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked James Madison | 8c | 447.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed James Madison | 5c | 404.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked James Madison | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed James Madison | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2d…36e7backed James Madison | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed James Madison | 8c | 371.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3144backed James Madison | 8c | 367.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed James Madison | 8c | 360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b68…9227backed James Madison | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked James Madison | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed James Madison | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed James Madison | 8c | 331.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed James Madison | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked James Madison | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked James Madison | 8c | 279.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed James Madison | 8c | 270$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed James Madison | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed James Madison | 9c | 261$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…b345backed James Madison | 9c | 253.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed James Madison | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked James Madison | 8c | 245.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a0…67cabacked James Madison | 9c | 236.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed James Madison | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…80c0backed James Madison | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…bc9fbacked James Madison | 8c | 211$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked James Madison | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed James Madison | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed James Madison | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked James Madison | 8c | 189.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…291cbacked James Madison | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…23e1backed James Madison | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…5f2ebacked James Madison | 7c | 186.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…5cadbacked James Madison | 6c | 186$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…2f66backed James Madison | 8c | 185.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked James Madison | 8c | 182.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked James Madison | 8c | 179.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed James Madison | 8c | 172.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…2490backed James Madison | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed James Madison | 8c | 166$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…1ffdbacked James Madison | 8c | 154.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- James Madison vs. Oregonthis page
- James Madison vs. Oregon: 1H MoneylineOregon won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 45.5Over won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 46.5Over won
- James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 47.5Over won
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Oregon (-21.5)James Madison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.