TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c8d…673a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST4944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38.69
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$207.93
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$94.24
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$160.87
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.94
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.28
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$155.3
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+105.2%+$77.69
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+115.1%+$121.91
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+153.8%+$89.28
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+101.9%+$214.93
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$170.76
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$212.17
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.5%+$144.38
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$38.57
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.6%+$140.38
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+80.7%+$134
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$138.63
Devils vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$169.77
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+121%+$164.25
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65.61
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+54.4%+$134.73
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Spursbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55.19
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$87
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$55.85
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+27.1%+$68.13
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$317.99
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+74.9%+$41.37
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+212.9%+$195.93
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$306.87
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+181%+$70.1
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+43%+$22.46
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$453.07
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+219.5%+$322.11
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+34.9%+$116.49
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+118.1%+$256.01
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40.06
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$63.6
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$209.11
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$334
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+251.8%+$138.68
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+80.2%+$147.77
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+160.3%+$180.24
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+98.4%+$124.02
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$83.74
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$94.15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$93.75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+183%+$20.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$226.89
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$63.17
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$104.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+111.4%+$171.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37.6%+$101.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$81
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+187.2%+$95.52
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$34.44
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+119.8%+$160.17
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$166.11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$60.76
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$231.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+62.9%+$159.76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$193.17
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$60
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$161.25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$348.35
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+80.4%+$267.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54.75
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$74.04
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+68.8%+$158.11
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+83.6%+$78.39
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$79.76
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$261.97
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+52%+$98.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42.38
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$245.89
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.2%+$107.93
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+57.4%+$201.16
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$43.87
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$209.95
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.64
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$141
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70.47
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$90
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+164.4%+$186.55
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.93
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$185.76
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$283.67
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$177
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+114.1%+$154.61
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+54.8%+$124.72
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+89.9%+$123.89
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+87.6%+$113.83
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$95
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.