Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70c94e1c8ebac53b0c957d29181ff5f874028bc4891a6030afec281f536b967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 65c | 38,549$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 52c | 18,887$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,147.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 15,185$5,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,868 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 11,111$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,089.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 35c | 8,049$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.4 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 6,863$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.69 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 6,730$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.71 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 62c | 6,193$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.83 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 5,833$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.91 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 5,173$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 35c | 5,108$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.98 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.91 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 3,497$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.43 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 3,163$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.05 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 2,775$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 39c | 2,292$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 39c | 2,021$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 53c | 1,699$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…f10dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,427$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.47 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 1,246$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.76 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 63c | 1,040$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 1,018$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.54 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 41c | 991$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.69 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 757$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Yes | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 727.23$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 44c | 681.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.93 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 48c | 594.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 40c | 593.02$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.81 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 549.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 38c | 499.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 40c | 486.8$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 430$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 408.33$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 39c | 392.81$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 53c | 384.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 49c | 346.26$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 61c | 328.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 305.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 64c | 294.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 39c | 268.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…847dbacked Yes | 32c | 243.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 59c | 169.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 60c | 166.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 43c | 166$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 61c | 155.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Yes | 48c | 151.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 147.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 143$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 61c | 125.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 37c | 122$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…e724backed Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 57c | 108$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa513…40fdbacked Yes | 59c | 96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 59c | 93.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 61c | 93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…4540backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will SS Lazio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.