TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf057…d05e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.3
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.43
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$629
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$326.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$216.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$400
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+376.2%+$376.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$257.87
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.99
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$109.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$153.23
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99.53
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300.07
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+120.4%+$361.29
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$210
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$295.36
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$97.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$299.2
Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+239.2%+$331.86
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$313.71
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$151.01
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100.07
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$307.69
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$152.82
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$203
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$271
Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+85.6%+$519.76
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.9%+$711.48
Will Angola win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$87.48
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.94
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$40.86
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.24
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$8.2
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+73.1%+$187.08
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+166.2%+$19.29
Will the Ravens and Buccaneers combine for 50 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.77
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.74
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will the 49ers and Seahawks combine for 50 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Saints vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$17.95
Cowboys vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.33
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Jets and Patriots combine for 39 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+100%+$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100.99
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+118.9%+$356.81
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$764.73
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+257.7%+$407.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150.99
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+400%+$63.04
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$200.91
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$197.01
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$106
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$290
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
FC Juárez vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+210.4%+$33.67
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+158.3%+$363.25
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will CF América win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$119.26
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$364.83
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.69
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bayern Munich beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will RB Leipzig beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$102.48
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Arsenal beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$23.74
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.74
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+1,252.5%+$434.37
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$567.38
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+151.2%+$55.96
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$134.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$278
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+106.9%+$55.57
Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$319.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+97.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$139.98
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+334.8%+$100.43
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.77
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+334.8%+$83.7
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$105.65
All 7 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$37.95
Will USC beat Michigan?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+177.8%+$44.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+300%+$76.32
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.