Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93fe5d6cc94f1b8a0a5a1f326fd3496316b2448cf6ae90c4732aa00577848f0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 34c | 2,965$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,759$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.26 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 34c | 2,738$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.14 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 52c | 2,636$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.32 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,821$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed Yes | 69c | 1,615$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 70c | 1,330$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.86 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed No | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Yes | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…1150backed Yes | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 66c | 1,060$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…84bdbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 36c | 1,000$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.93 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…e43dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes | 26c | 866.55$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 33c | 799.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…ee4bbacked No | 36c | 704$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…41f3backed Yes | 66c | 703.03$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 60c | 668.77$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.41 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…38a2backed Yes | 66c | 545.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…08d8backed No | 37c | 541.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 66c | 440.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…9d87backed Yes | 66c | 390.68$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…3568backed Yes | 69c | 362.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 18c | 344.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 65c | 315.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 68c | 291.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 69c | 281.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 47c | 244.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 18c | 227.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 70c | 221.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 69c | 200.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…3370backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 67c | 191.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 19c | 180$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 70c | 176.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 52c | 174.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 23c | 171.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 66c | 162.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 67c | 144.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…bdfbbacked Yes | 45c | 124.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 41c | 96.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…5432backed Yes | 56c | 71.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Yes | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes | 63c | 47.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 65c | 45.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…d309backed Yes | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…ec1bbacked Yes | 38c | 41.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…50e9backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…57ecbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…54dcbacked No | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…7ae1backed Yes | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 36c | 34.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…658dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked No | 35c | 29.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…8a75backed Yes | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…9898backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…a877backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 57c | 22.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…ab13backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aa3dbacked Yes | 66c | 18.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…d353backed Yes | 73c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked Yes | 66c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…ad80backed Yes | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…7ccfbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid?No won
- Will the match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.